joi, 28 ianuarie 2010

Kazahii au oferit un pret mai mare decat pe Bursa pentru RRC, dar sub pretentiile minoritarilor

Grupul Rompetrol, controlat de compania kazaha KazMunaiGaz, a oferit un pret de 0,0625 lei/actiune in oferta de preluare obligatorie pentru participatiile minoritare de la Rompetrol Rafinare (RRC), compania care detine rafinaria Petromidia.
Pe Bursa, pretul actiunilor RRC era ieri de 0,0618 lei/actiune, insa la sfarsitul anului trecut pretul a sarit de 0,07 lei/actiune, scazand ulterior.
Oferta, care se ridica la circa 80 mil. euro pentru 25% din Rompetrol Rafinare, evaluand compania la 320 mil. euro, este mult sub pretentiile actionarilor minoritari. Un grup de investitori grupati in jurul senatorului UDMR Attila Verestoy, care detin peste 5% din RRC, sustineau la finele anului trecut ca valoarea ofertei ar trebui sa fie de peste 150 mil. euro, adica un pret de peste 0,11 lei/actiune. Calculul lor are la baza pretul de circa 1,7 mld. dolari platit de kazahi omului de afaceri Dinu Patriciu pentru preluarea integrala a grupului Rompetrol si pe faptul ca Petromidia este principalul activ al grupului.
CNVM le-a solicitat kazahilor sa declare pe proprie raspundere daca in contractul de vanzare-cumparare incheiat cu Patriciu exista evaluari separate pentru Rompetrol Rafinare si Rompetrol Well Services, aceasta fiind o conditie pentru aprobarea ofertei. Ieri, CNVM a respins insa oferta pentru RRC pe motiv ca pretul este prea mic. "Motivul pentru care am respins oferta facuta de grupul Rompetrol pentru preluarea participatiilor minoritare la Rompetrol Rafinare este ca pretul din plic, respectiv 0,0625 lei/actiune, este mai mic decat valoarea activului net", au precizat reprezentantii CNVM, care considera ca pretul de oferta trebuie sa fie peste valoarea activului net pe actiune care rezulta din ultimele situatii financiare auditate, de la 31.12.2008, respectiv 0,0741 lei/actiune.
CNVM a aprobat insa oferta Rompetrol Group in valoare de 58,6 mil. lei (14,3 mil. euro) pentru participatia minoritara de 49% din Rompetrol Well Services (PTR), pretul oferit fiind de 0,43 lei/actiune. Pe Bursa, pretul actiunilor PTR era ieri de 0,403 lei/actiune.
"Pretul oferit de grup a fost usor mai mare decat pretul din raportul evaluatorului, care a luat in calcul situatiile financiare neauditate ale companiei la 30 septembrie 2009, insa a fost substantial mai mare decat pretul care rezulta din ultimele situatii financiare auditate, respectiv la 31 decembrie 2008", a declarat pentru ZF Gabriela Anghelache, presedintele CNVM.

sursa: zf

vineri, 15 ianuarie 2010

CBC

Producatorul de materiale abrazive Carbochim Cluj-Napoca (CBC) si-a rectificat bugetul pentru acest an si estimeaza obtinerea unui profit brut de 386.000 lei, de 2,7 ori mai mare fata de valoarea prognozata in aprilie, dar de 2,5 mai mic fata de castigul obtinut in 2008. Totodata, firma a scazut si fondurile alocate investitiilor, la 1,3 milioane lei, de la 2,42 milioane de lei cat era prevazut in planul de buget initial, reiese dintr-un comunicat al Carbochim transmis, luni, Bursei de Valori Bucuresti (BVB). Firma estimeaza pentru acest an o cifra de afaceri de 24 milioane lei, cu circa un milion mai mare fata de valoarea prognozata in primul buget, de 23 milioane de lei. Carbochim a incheiat anul 2008 cu un profit de 924.400 lei, la o cifra de afaceri de 32,3 milioane lei. Firma, listata pe piata BVB, are un capital social de 9,7 milioane lei, divizat in 3,8 milioane actiuni, cu o valoare nominala de 2,5 lei. Principalii actionari ai Carbochim sunt Viorel Popoviciu (17,66%), SIF Banat-Crisana (13,08%), Titus Popa (11,16%), Pietro Ionescu (10,78%) si Ion Raducanu (10,6%).
Mediafax 21.12.2009

luni, 11 ianuarie 2010

TBM

1/11/2010 08:59sursa: Wall-Street
(EBS) mentine recomandarea de reducere pentru (TBM)
Analistii Erste Group mentin recomandarea de reducere a expunerii pe actiunile producatorului de componente pentru aeronave Turbomecanica Bucuresti (TBM), din cauza incertitudinii privind perspectivele colaborarii cu Ministerul Apararii Nationale, precum si din cauza scaderea cererii in 2010, potrivit unui raport de analiza.Rezultatele analizei DCF (Discounted Cash Flow, n.r. prezinta previziunea fluxurilor de numerar catre firma pe urmatorii ani si aducerea in prezent a acestor valori) a ridicat pretul-tinta de la 0,076 lei la 0,083 lei/actiune, cu 11% mai mic decat ultima cotatie din piata.“Am estimat vanzari de 62,55 milioane lei in 2009 luand in considerare ca cel de-al patrulea trimestru va fi mai slab, pe fondul asteptarilor ca unii dintre clientii principali (Agusta, Pratt & Whitney) vor aduce venituri mai mici din cauza crizei economice globale”, se arata in raportul Erste.De asemenea, analistii se asteapta ca EBITDA in ultimul trimestru al anului sa depaseasca usor nivelul de 6 milioane lei, ceea ce va duce la rezultatul operational din 2009 sa atinga 6,4 milioane lei.In cursul anului trecut, compania a trecut printr-un amplu program de reducere a costurilor, numarul angajatilor fiind redus cu 30%, la 490 de persoane la finalul lunii septembrie.Pentru acest an, analistii Erste se asteapta ca producatorul sa obtina vanzari de 62 milioane lei din cauza ca afacerile din piata locala vor fi afectate in continuare de catre constrangerile de buget care va impiedica incheierea de contracte cu Ministerul Apararii. De asemenea, Erste estimeaza un profit operational de 5,8 milioane lei in 2010.“Efecte pozitive asupra profitabilitatii sunt asteptate sa inceapa din 2011 ca urmare a revenirii afacerilor a unora dintre clientii strategici”, explica analistii.

miercuri, 6 ianuarie 2010

ZIM

1/5/2010 09:04sursa: Wall-Street
Flamboyant Ventures mai cumpara 18% din (ZIM) si devine cel mai mare actionar
Flamboyant Ventures, un off-shore inregistrat in Insulele Belize, a anuntat ca si-a majorat participatia la 31,87% in cadrul producatorului de tevi Zimtub Zimnicea (ZIM), potrivit unei raportari remise Bursei de Valori Bucuresti, devenind cel mai mare actionar al societatii.Actionarul care si-a cedat participatia de 17,94% nu a fost anuntat, dar procentele sunt similare cu detinerea fostului director al Zimtub, Stelian Dragomir.In noiembrie, Flamboyant Ventures a devenit al doilea actionar al producatorului de tevi, dupa ce a achizitionat 17,93% din capitalul social al companiei.Zimtub a incheiat primele noua luni cu un profit net de 217.125 lei (51.300 euro), dupa pierderile din aceeasi perioada din 2008, in contextul in care cifra de afaceri s-a dublat la 31,71 milioane lei (7,5 milioane euro).Zimtub are un capital social de 12,07 milioane lei, impartit in 4,83 milioane actiuni, cu valoarea nominala de 2,50 lei. Potrivit ultimelor raportari, actionarii principali sunt Interagro SRL si Intergaz SRL, care controleaza 33% din capitalul social, iar Stelian Dragomir are o participatie de 18,34%. De asemenea, Inter Ferm Fantanelele are o detinere de 25,86%.Valoarea de piata a companiei este de 4,36 milioane lei (1,03 mil. euro), conform ultimului pret de 0,905 lei/actiune.

luni, 4 ianuarie 2010

Bike

bike75.gif (2872 bytes)
CYCLING PERFORMANCE TIPS

  Last updated: 12/6/2009

HEART RATE MONITORS


CONTENTS
  • Basic cardiovascular physiology
  • Pros and cons of using a heart rate monitor
  • Definitions
  • Calculating your maximum heart rate
  • Heart rate training zones
  • Training tips using a heart rate monitor
  • Resting heart rate
  • An opposing opinion
The Heart Rate Monitor (HRM) is touted by many cyclists and trainers as the most significant training advance in the last ten years. Although many coaches refuse to work with an athlete without the physiologic training information it provides, HRMs have their detractors. And that small backlash is slowly growing. An alternative to a HRM, not quite as technical and rigid, uses perceived effort as a measure of your level of exertion.

BASIC CARDIOVASCULAR PHYSIOLOGY

First, let's review the basic physiology of the circulatory system asking ourselves the question "What does the heart rate really indicate?" The components of the cardiovascular system are:
  • the heart (the pump)
  • the arteries (a distribution system)
  • the capillaries (the exchange system where gases, nutrients, and other chemical compounds move to and from surrounding tissue
  • the veins (which are the return circuit)
With every heart beat (contraction of the heart pump), a certain amount of blood (stroke volume) is pushed through the system. The contraction frequency of the heart is the heart rate (HR). The amount of blood moved to the cells of the body every minute is the product of the heart rate and stroke volume (HR x strove volume). With physical activity (exercise) more oxygen is required by the muscle cells, and the circulatory system responds by increasing the heart rate (and the cardiac output). With aerobic training, the actual amount of blood pumped per heart beat (stroke volume) increases and the efficiency of the exchange process at the capillary level improves. The result is a lower heart rate for any level of physical activity in the trained versus the untrained individual. Thus aerobic training benefits include:

  • a lower resting heart rate
  • a lower heart rate for a specific level of exertion
  • an increased exercise capacity at an individual's maximum heart rate.
The training effect results when the heart muscle is "stressed" by an increase in cardiac output (just as muscles in the arms and legs respond to the stress of lifting free weights). As the cardiac output is directly proportional to the heart rate, a heart rate monitor (HRM) can be used to structure and monitor an aerobic training program. (For additional background see Basic Exercise Physiology - the cardiac system.) Let's look at the pros and cons on the use of a HRM.

PROS AND CONS

The ADVANTAGES of a HRM include its use:
  • as a motivational tool - like a coach ; brings objectivity to a training program.
  • to teach beginners to read their bodies and avoid anaerobic overtraining.
  • to aid in doling out energy during time trialing or climbing, saving some for the final effort.
  • to analyze race efforts and design a personalized training program.
  • to spot overtraining (heart rate 10% higher than normal on awakening for several consecutive days).
The DISADVANTAGES of a HRM are:
  • its inconsistency - at the same heart rate you're not always putting out the same effort day to day.
  • the lack of scientific support - there is no evidence training with a HRM improve competitive performance.
  • too much data, esp with elaborate HRMs, with little agreement on how to use this information to improve training or performance.
  • the lag time in heart rate response to a change in exertion - 15 to 30 sec lag with 2 to 3 min to stabilize at the new level of exertion.
  • its incompatibility with group training.
  • it distracts from dangerous road hazards.

DEFINITIONS

Here are some definitions you'll encounter in the literature on heart rate monitors:

  • bpm - beats per minute
  • Max HR (MHR) - maximum heart rate (expressed in beats per minute)
  • target heart rate - the training heart rate (usually a range of values)
  • anaerobic threshold (AT)* (synonymous with lactate threshold). Lactate production occurs with muscle cell activity and increases as activity becomes more vigorous. Lactic acid is metabolized by the muscle cells, but at some point they cannot eliminate (or oxidize) the lactate as fast as it is being produced and the blood lactate level begins to increase. In trained athletes, this threshold for lactate buildup occurs at a higher activity level or percentage of the athlete's MHR or aerobic capacity. For all practical purposes, the AT is the highest heart rate you can maintain for a race or hard ride lasting up to an hour. As the AT increases with aerobic conditioning, it is considered one of the standard measurements to track training. The AT is usually reached at 80-90% of your maximum heart rate, but in elite riders rises to 90-93% of their maximum heart rate.(See also Basic Exercise Physiology - measures of cardiovascular fitness.)
  • lactate threshold (LT). See anaerobic threshold.
* Determining your actual Anaerobic Threshold (synonyms are lactate threshold, AT, LT, Concini test). Accurate laboratory determination of your anaerobic threshold requires frequent blood draws while pedaling an ergometer at steadily increasing workloads. But for training purposes, the following approach is an alternative. Using a single gear, start cycling at 35 kph. Slowly increase speed on a flat course by 1km/hr every 300 meters (1/5 mile). Chart heart rate vs speed. Anaerobic Threshold is the "breakpoint" where heart rate levels off relative to speed. Let's assume you have decided to use a heart rate monitor in your training program. The first step is calculating your MHR or maximum heart rate.

CALCULATING YOUR MAXIMUM HEART RATE (MHR)

Interest in the MHR is based on the fact that it is a readily available surrogate for VO2max, the gold standard for assessing exercise capacity and designing training programs. Just as we all vary in height and body habitus, everyone has their own personal maximum heart rate genetically "hardwired". Our maximum heart rate also decreases approximately one bpm (beat per minute) per year. The average MHR of a teenager is 220 beats per minute, but this may vary +/- 11 beats from the average (209-231 bpm). For example, a 40 year old who would be expected to have a MHR of 180 (220-40) could vary from 169 to 191 for his or her own personal MHR.
Another key point is maximum heart rates are "sport specific" i.e. they vary from one sport to another. For a given rate of oxygen consumption, weight bearing activities such as running raise the heart rate more than cycling (part of your weight is supported by the bike). So you cannot use your maximum heart rate from running to plan a cycling training program without risking overtraining.
One of the following two approaches can be used to determine your MHR for cycling. The first is more accurate and the one I prefer. There can be marked discrepancies between the estimated MHR and real life results (up to 5% of the population can have heart rates 20 beats above or below the ESTIMATED figure). And if you are in shape, the typical decline of one beat per minute per year doesn't always hold.

  • Warm up thoroughly (maybe 15 minutes on the flats). On a long, steady hill (doesn't have to be steep)increase effort every minute for at least 5 minutes until you can't go any faster (sitting, not standing). Then sprint for 15 seconds (it is OK to stand at this point). Stop, get off the bike (this is for safety reasons - not mandatory) and immediately check your heart rate at its maximum for a full 30 seconds - then double that number. This will give you a practical maximum heart rate in beats per minute. Similar results can be obtained on a stationary trainer.
  • 220 minus your age in years. A rough figure and much less accurate than the on bike approach.
The only limit to the length of time one can ride at 100% of their MHR is personal discomfort. This level of activity does not "strain" the heart muscle or have other harmful effects on the heart itself. Although this level of activity might be considered in a competitive race or event for a short sprint, maximizing the benefits of a training program is the result of a mixture of recovery and hard days (see below). As the time you can hold 100% MHR is considerably shorter than the time you can ride at 84-90% MHR, the art of racing is finding the right mix to get you to the finish line first. Most competitive athletes train at their lactate threshold (84-90% of their MHR).

HEART RATE TRAINING ZONES

There are 5 training "zones" or heart rate ranges. These are arbitrary divisions and can differ from article to article or coach to coach. They are based on the increase in heart rate (and cardiac output) as the oxygen consumption of the exercising muscle increases, and the concept of the benefits of variable stress in developing the exercising muscle (heart or skeletal). As one moves up the hierarchy of training zones, exercise intensity increases and there is a shift from the use of fat as an energy source for the muscle cell to carbohydrate (below 70% MHR fat is burned preferentially). And as the MHR is reached, there is a shift in the muscle cell towards anaerobic (without oxygen) metabolism with increased lactic acid production.
The Heart Rate Intensity Zones are divided as follows:

  • Zone 1 65% of MHR (recovery rides)
  • Zone 2 65-72% of MHR (endurance events)
  • Zone 3 73-80% of MHR (high level aerobic activity)
  • Zone 4 84-90% of MHR (lactate threshold(LT,AT); time trialing)
  • Zone 5 91-100% of MHR (sprints and anaerobic training)
If you always train at low heart rates, you will develop endurance with no top end speed. Conversely if you train hard most of the time, you'll never recover completely and chronic fatigue will poison your performance. The solution is to mix hard training with easy pedaling in the proper proportions. The best approach is to stay below 80% of maximum heart rate (zones 1 to 3) on your easy days to build an aerobic base while allowing day to day recovery, and then push above 85% when it's time to go hard to improve your high level performance. But avoid training in the no man's land or mediocre middle at 80-85% of MHR where it's too difficult to maintain the pace for the long rides needed to build endurance and allow some recovery time, but not hard enough to significantly improve your aerobic performance and increase your lactate threshold.
Training programs should be individualized, but once a good base is developed early in the season with Zones 1 and 2 exertion, most programs contain the following elements.

TRAINING TIPS USING A HEART RATE MONITOR


Tips for a training week: (see also mileage tips and training options)

  • one long recovery ride - zone 1 or 2
  • one long day (event distance + 10 to 20%) - max hr = to that planned for the event
  • three high intensity days - zone 4
  • one or two interval workout days which are counted as one of the three zone 4 days. For example:
    • warm up - zone 1
    • 20 min - zone 3
    • 5 min - zone 4
    • 7 intervals - hit 90% max, recover to 60 - 65% max
    • 5 min - zone 4
    • 20 min - zone 3
    • warm down - zone 1
  • the sixth and seventh days of the week can be rest days off the bike or slow recovery rides at zone 1 or 2 exertion to stretch out your muscles.

USING A HRM TO AVOID OVERTRAINING

A heart monitor can provide you with clues as to whether you are risking an overtraining situation - and thus should take an extra day of rest. Do a warm up that takes you to the foot of a familiar hill. Climb at your usual pace while keeping one eye on your HRM. One of four things will happen:
  1. Heart rate is higher than normal and legs feel tired
  2. Heart rate is normal and legs feel tired
  3. Heart rate is higher than normal and legs feel good
  4. Heart rate is normal and legs feel good
In the first situation, your recovery from previous rides isn't close to what it should be. Head on home and take the day off. Pushing on will only put you in a deeper hole. In the second and third scenarios, your recovery is incomplete, but not to the extent of #1. You can continue riding, but only if you can keep distance and intensity moderate. Scenario number four indicates you are right on schedule with your training.
Your resting heart rate (RHR) is another indicator of your degree of training (and monitor for moving into an overtrained state). As you train, your resting heart rate should fall as a result of the increased efficiency of the circulatory system. The heart will increase the volume of blood pumped per beat, and the peripheral muscle cells will become more effective at extracting oxygen from the blood passing through their capillary networks. The RHR for an untrained individual is 60 to 80 beats per minute. With training, it is not uncommon to see the RHR fall into the high 40s or low 50s. And as mentioned above, regular monitoring of your resting heart rate in the mornings (before getting up and beginning your daily activities) can be used as a monitor for overtraining (heart rate on awakening and before getting out of bed 10% higher than your personal normal for several consecutive days).

SLOW HEART RATE

A slow heart rate is considered a sign of good health. As one conditions, the heart will beat more slowly for any specific level of activity - including at rest. That is why the resting heart rate is a good measure of cardiovascular conditioning. The two exceptions are hypothermia, where a slow heart rate is a reason for alarm, and the other is a heart rhythm disorder. The latter can indicate heart disease, generally comes on quite suddenly, and is occasionally associated with an irregularity of the pulse.

AN OPPOSING OPINION

But there are differences of opinion on the usefulness of a heart rate monitor for training and competing. So keep an open mind and don't consider the HRM as the only real key to success. The following is from an Aussie coach, Graham Fowler: "I have observed a number of different %max heart rates during time trials. My nephew once rode a junior nationals ITT at 100%MHR. He didn't win it needless to say however didn't crack either. Obviously he was very fit or his MHR was inaccurate. I advise riders to ride just above (1 to 5 beats per min) what they consider threshold. This is around 92%max hr. This mark needs to be derived in training. I am aware of race day anxiety causing the heart rate to elevate somewhat so the hr is not such a good measure with an anxious rider. I am more inclined in the future the train with heart rate to establish a perceived effort (pe), and then remove the heart rate meter during racing and ride on pe alone. The speed of is then the govener (sic)."

THE BOTTOM LINE

The following question may help to illustrate a few points. Q. I am 48 years old and a new MTB biker. I am working to keep/improve my shape in a controlled way, so I am using a HR monitor on my MTB bike. Until now I used Max HR of 180, just because quite often I reached this figure. Last time after accelerating my HR for 15 minutes, on a mountain steep trail I reached (for more than a minute) a HR of 182 -185 (in total it was 3 minutes of 8.7% trail with avg. speed of 8 km/h, avg. HR of 178 and max of 185) and I could continue without a problem with the trail.
My questions are:
  • Should I consider my Max HR as 185? or what should it be?
  • As it is quite far from my theoretical Max HR, what does it mean: Am I in good shape? Not in good shape? Means nothing (just genetic)?
A. Here are a few thoughts-

Q. I am going to be training for the Paris Brest Paris in 2011 and would like to know how I can use heart rate or perceived exertion information to improve my training. The pace of brevets is only an average of 9.5 mph in order to get under the time cut off. Do you think need a HRM? M.M.
A. PBP is the ultimate endurance event. So cardiovascular training is not going to be the challenge as much as your musculoskeletal conditioning. You will probably be riding at 50 - 60 % VO2max most of the time and thus are burning a fair amount of fat calories as opposed to sprint type events. So no need to worry about intervals, and in fact as you are going to want to train at most somewhere around 70 - 75% VO2 max., I would go for "perceived exertion" that is "how you feel" as the best barometer. A HRM might drive you to do more than is necessary - and lead to burn out if you are only focused on training to the numbers.


Cycling Performance Tips

Otetul balsamic, elixirul dietei mediteraneene

Ajuta la slabit, faciliteaza digestia, are proprietati anti colesterol, anti imbatranire si relgeaza tensiunea. Iata de ce ar trebui sa optezi pentru otetul balsamic in locul celui obisnuit, de mere. 

1. Ajuta la slabit

Mai multe studii suedeze realizate in anul 2005 au demonstrat ca otetul balsamic confera o senzatie intensa de satietate si duce la scaderea poftei de mancare. Consumat zilnic, acesta contribuie semnificativ la scaderea greutatii si la eliminarea toxinelor din corp.

2. Imbunatateste digestia


Otetul balsamic este bogat in pectina, o fibra solubila in apa care incetineste absorbtia alimentelor si a fluidelor in intestin. Intrucat parcurge lent aparatul digestiv, are un efect depurativ asupra lui, ii amelioreaza disfunctiile.

Totodata, se pare ca un consum regulat de otet balsamic previne aparitia ulcerului gastric, intrucat face ca stomacul sa secrete un suc protector. El are de asemenea o actiune protectoare impotriva bacteriilor care se afla la originea bolilor digestive si limiteaza riscurile intoxicatiei alimentare.

Regleaza glicemia


Aviz diabeticilor de gradul 2 si a marilor consumatori de dulciuri. Otetul balsamic regleaza cantitatea de zahar din sange, datorita acidului acetic din compozitie.

Mentine sanatatea inimii

Consumul zilnic de otet balsamic duce la o diminuare considerabila a tensiunii arteriale, a presiunii sanguine si a activitatii reninei, enzima responsabila cu productia de peptide (care favorizeaza hipertensiunea arteriala).

Totodata, otetul balsamic are un efect benefic asupra nivelului colesterolului "rau", pe care il elimina treptat din organism.

Amelioreaza afectiunile ORL

Otetul balsamic, ca si otetul obisnuit de altfel, are proprietati antiseptice puternice si distruge bacteriile. La fel ca si cele din stomac, si cele din gat care se afla la originea diferitelor infectii, laringite si faringite, pot fi inlaturate cu ajutorul otetului balsamic.

De asemenea, acesta lupta cu succes si impotriva stafilococilor si streptococilor care provoaca otite si infectii ale canalului auditiv, mai ales in cazul in care acestea recidiveaza.

Lupta cu osteoporoza


Daca timp de 32 de zile consumi zilnic otet balsamic, iti ajuti corpul sa asimileze mai bine calciul si sa incetineasca scaderea densitatii osoase pricinuita de menopauza si de schimbarile hormonale. Reusesti astfel sa iti intaresti sistemul osos si sa previi osteoporoza.

... si cu imbatranirea

Otetul balsamic este bogat in antioxidanti, mai ales in beta-caroten, care anihileaza radicalii liberi si stimuleaza activitatea sistemului imunitar. Totodata, otetul balsamic contribuie si la mentinerea starii de bine a organismului, avand un aport semnificativ de nutrienti precum bor, potasiu, fier.

sursa: csid.ro

Anul 2009



Iata care sunt in opinia ZF principalele 10 evenimente care ar putea marca Bursa in 2010.
1. Listarea Fondului Proprietatea
Asteptata de trei ani, listarea Fondului Proprietatea ramane unul dintre evenimentele care ar putea marca puternic Bursa de la Bucuresti. Activele de circa 3 miliarde de euro ale fondului si participatiile valoroase pe care acesta le detine la cele mai importante companii din sectorul energetic ar putea atrage un interes ridicat din partea marilor investitori straini. Alegerea grupului american Franklin Templeton pentru administrarea fondului ar putea aduce un plus de vizibilitate. Templeton s-a angajat sa inceapa demersurile pentru listarea Fondului Proprietatea imediat ce reprezentantii statului, actionarul majoritar al fondului, vor semna contractul de administrare.
2. Ridicarea pragului de detinere la SIF-uri
La mijlocul anului trecut, un grup de parlamentari a lansat o initiativa legislativa care prevedea eliminarea pragului de detinere de 1% de la SIF-uri. Dupa aproape sase luni de dezbateri in comisiile parlamentare, proiectul a trecut de Senat intr-o varianta modificata, care prevede majorarea pragului de la 1% la 5%. Proiectul urmeaza sa fie dezbatut si in Camera Deputatilor in primele luni ale acestui an. Majorarea pragului la 5%, care pare tot mai probabila, ar creste interesul pentru titlurile SIF si ar putea duce la acumularea unor participatii semnificative de catre marii investitori, care vor fi interesati sa se implice si in conducerea SIF-urilor.
3. Ofertele de preluare de la RRC si PTR
Investitorii de pe Bursa solicita de un an grupului Rompetrol sa lanseze oferte publice de preluare pentru participatiile minoritare ale Rompetrol Rafinare (RRC) si Rompetrol Well Services (PTR), dupa ce kazahii de la KazMunaiGaz au preluat grupul in 2007. In iulie 2009, CNVM a solicitat grupului sa lanseze oferte de preluare pentru cele doua companii, insa pregatirea documentatiei a durat cateva luni. In urmatoarele saptamani, CNVM ar putea aproba in sfarsit cele doua oferte. Oferta de preluare a Rompetrol Rafinare ar putea fi cea mai mare operatiune de acest fel de pe Bursa.
4. Reorganizarea Flamingo
Ceea ce nimeni nu si-ar fi dorit - intrarea in insolventa a unei companii listate la Bursa - s-a intamplat la sfarsitul anului, retailerul electroIT Flamingo International (FLA) cerand protectia in fata creditorilor a tuturor companiilor din grup. Soarta Flamingo depinde acum de ce vor hotari creditorii, dar si de succesul emisiunii de obligatiuni convertibile prin intermediul careia compania urmareste sa stranga 7 mil. euro de la actionari si de la investitorii de pe Bursa.
5. Schimbarile din actionariatul Bancii Transilvania
Banca Transilvania (TLV) ramane si in 2010 unul dintre cei mai urmariti emitenti de pe Bursa, in conditiile in care schimbarile din actionariat de la finele anului trecut ar putea continua sau ar putea aduce modificari si in conducerea bancii. Bank of Cyprus, care a preluat o participatie de 9,7% din TLV, ar putea incerca sa-si majoreze detinerea sau ar putea pretinde un loc in Consiliul de Administratie. Atentia tuturor este indreptata insa asupra principalilor actionari, BERD si Horia Ciorcila, care au tot amanat in ultimii ani momentul exitului.
6. Majorarea de capital de la Petrom
Cea mai mare companie din Romania ar putea lansa anul acesta cea mai mare majorare de capital, Petrom propunandu-si sa atraga circa un miliard de euro de la principalii actionari (OMV, Ministerul Economiei si Fondul Proprietatea), dar si de la investitorii de pe Bursa. O participare masiva a investitorilor la o astfel de operatiune ar arata ca piata romaneasca de capital reprezinta o sursa viabila de finantare si ar putea stimula si listarea unor companii de stat.
7. Listarea Bursei de la Bucuresti la Bursa
Actionarii Bursei de Valori Bucuresti (BVB) si-au dat acordul de principiu pentru listarea pe platforma proprie inca de la sfarsitul lui 2008, iar listarea efectiva ar putea avea loc chiar anul acesta, in conditiile in care tot mai multe firme de brokeraj care detin pachete de actiuni la BVB sunt insteresate sa-si vanda actiunile pentru a face rost de lichiditati. Bursa de la Bucuresti are un capital social de 76 mil. lei si peste 300 de actionari, majoritatea fiind firme de brokeraj si brokeri ai acestora.
8. Lansarea pietei de actiuni la Sibex
Bursa din Sibiu (Sibex), operatorul principalei piete futures din Romania, a anuntat ca va lansa pana la finele lunii ianuarie propria piata de actiuni, urmarind astfel sa concureze Bursa de la Bucuresti. Concurenta dintre cele doua piete ar putea duce pe termen lung la reducerea costurilor de listare pentru companii si a celor de tranzactionare pentru investitori. In prima faza, Bursa din Sibiu intentioneaza sa se listeze pe propria platforma, pe care s-ar mai putea lista si companii private precum Adeplast Oradea.
9. Revenirea investitorilor straini
In fiecare an, ochii tuturor investitorilor locali stau pe pietele internationale, iar evolutia Bursei de la Bucuresti se coreleaza puternic cu evolutia burselor externe. Un rol important in evolutia Bursei l-au avut in ultimii ani investitorii straini, care prin actiunile lor au impulsionat sau au franat cresterile sau scaderile pietei. Strainii au redevenit cumparatori neti pe Bursa in 2009, dupa ce in 2008 au retras bani din piata contribuind la prabusirea acesteia. O intrare mai puternica a fondurilor straine pe piata locala este conditionata insa de redresarea situatiei economice.
10. Intrarile in fondurile de pensii si in fondurile de actiuni
Investitorii institutionali locali au fost foarte slabi pana acum, avand o influenta extrem de redusa in evolutia Bursei. Cresterea activelor fondurilor de pensii private ar putea aduce insa mai multi bani pe piata de capital, la fel ca si o crestere a subscrierilor in fonduri de actiuni si diversificate, care au inregistrat anul trecut printre cele mai mari randamente din ultimii ani.
Continua cresterea Bursei?
Anul 2009 a fost nesperat de bun pentru Bursa de Valori Bucuresti, aducandu-le investitorilor unele dintre cele mai mari castiguri din ultimii ani, cand toata economia se prabusea in jur. O crestere de peste 60% a indicelui BET si castiguri de peste 100% pe patru dintre SIF-uri reprezinta performante cu care investitorii de pe Bursa nu s-au mai intalnit de patru ani.
Intrebarea este daca aceste cresteri vor continua si in 2010. Majoritatea brokerilor mizeaza in continuare pe o evolutie pozitiva a Bursei, insa considera ca este putin probabil sa se repete castigurile de anul trecut. Daca revenirea de pana acum a fost mai mult de natura psihologica, pentru ca evolutia pozitiva sa continue este necesara si o imbunatatire fundamentala a indicatorilor macroeconomici si a rezultatelor companiilor listate.
Faptul ca economia nu da deocamdata semne de revenire, iar situatia din intreaga regiune este privita cu neliniste de catre analisti si investitori, ar putea determina unele corectii in prima parte a anului, insa brokerii spera ca evolutiile pozitive vor reveni in a doua parte a anului, odata cu primele semne de revenire economica. O eventuala corectie ar fi un prilej bun pentru investitori sa cumpere actiuni mai ieftine, asa cum s-a intamplat la inceputul anului trecut, cand titlurile de pe Bursa au scazut cu peste 25% pentru a-si dubla sau tripla ulterior valoarea.
Cu toate cresterile din 2009, actiunile listate au recuperat doar o parte din pierderile din 2008, pana la nivelurile din 2007 fiind inca loc de crestere. Pe de alta parte, rezultatele financiare ale companiilor au scazut in continuu incepand din 2008.